“I have spare money of Rs. 2 lakhs. I was wondering if I should use this to partially prepay my home loan or invest it in Gold and sell the gold after 1 year at a profit and then prepay the home loan?” I was stumped when I received this question on a TV show recently.
I was stumped not because I did not have an opinion on the question but because of the sheer guts and exuberance of the questioner. After all he was so confident about the annual return from Gold being much higher (of course a positive return) than the sure shot saving of about 12.50% p.a. on his home loan. A little more questioning clearly elicited the fact that the viewer was your regular IT Professional who was a salaried person and certainly no expert or speculator on Gold. Clearly Gold has given such superlative returns since the last 4 years or so (see chart) that anybody could be forgiven for being carried away. However as the chart shows the annual returns for gold even over the last 4 years have been quite volatile. Dur